Monday, March 15, 2010

March Madness 2010: Offense and Defense Ratings

Posted by Danny Tarlow
I quickly ran my algorithm from last year on this year's score data. See the old post for the details. I ran the exact same 1D model with this year's scores data, which gives offensive and defensive ratings for each team.

How it works:
If you want the details, read the old post. If you just want the quick story, the output here can be viewed a rating of each team's offense (higher is better) and defense (lower is better). It's actually more than that, though. The numbers are calibrated so that you can predict the outcome of a game between team A and team B as follows:
Team A's predicted score: Team A offense rating * Team B defense rating
Team B's predicted score: Team B offense rating * Team A defense rating

For example, if Kansas played Lehigh, the predicted score will be:
Kansas: 10.27 * 9.17 = 94
Lehigh: 8.70 * 7.04 = 61

A real blowout!

I've also included a combined measure (higher is better) at the bottom, which is just the offensive rating divided by the defensive rating for each team.

So have fun with it. Look up a few games from the season and see how well these predictions match the true outcomes. For my real predictions, though, I will most likely be using a higher dimensional version of the model, so don't pin me down to these predictions.

Update: I lied. I actually did just use the 1D version, though there's no good justification for it over other settings of parameters. I didn't get a chance to do proper validation to set latent dimension or regularization strength.

Offenses
1 Villanova (10.6096071747)
2 Providence (10.4961023481)
3 BYU (10.3145090472)
4 Syracuse (10.2897143393)
5 Texas (10.2737615755)
6 Kansas (10.2705742443)
7 Maryland (10.2565209896)
8 Washington (10.2331268368)
9 California (10.2154362322)
10 Duke (10.2054254119)
11 Kansas St. (10.1591288426)
12 Xavier (10.121168382)
13 Virginia Military (10.0635213108)
14 Seton Hall (10.02517276)
15 Kentucky (10.0157560113)
16 Houston (9.98686919786)
17 Vanderbilt (9.90921563852)
18 Mississippi (9.79158837692)
19 Missouri (9.78065560781)
20 Louisville (9.70612426736)
21 Notre Dame (9.68648004228)
22 St. Mary's (9.68403578665)
23 Texas Tech (9.68259249492)
24 Ohio St. (9.66670247978)
25 New Mexico (9.65916226491)
26 Nevada (9.60499808476)
27 North Carolina (9.58002470987)
28 Georgetown (9.54401370366)
29 VCU (9.5113590692)
30 Baylor (9.50523410129)
31 Marshall (9.50445111215)
32 Minnesota (9.50421932536)
33 Michigan St. (9.50198567669)
34 Gonzaga (9.49881517781)
35 New Mexico St. (9.48362123051)
36 Colorado (9.47117793387)
37 Rhode Island (9.4689437856)
38 Arkansas (9.426477063)
39 Wake Forest (9.41800936615)
40 Seattle (9.40062565121)
41 Tennessee (9.39149332818)
42 Auburn (9.39083686601)
43 West Virginia (9.38665180217)
44 Clemson (9.38072138583)
45 Sam Houston St. (9.37071466958)
46 Siena (9.3263895148)
47 Georgia Tech (9.32282841693)
48 Arizona (9.31339708463)
49 Illinois (9.28819011497)
50 Oklahoma St. (9.26270937933)
51 UTEP (9.23343702695)
52 Memphis (9.22475741799)
53 Purdue (9.21034444121)
54 Marquette (9.20800477412)
55 Connecticut (9.18296576043)
56 Lipscomb (9.18236722172)
57 Loyola Marymount (9.16892800575)
58 Iowa St. (9.1571824487)
59 UNLV (9.14354681667)
60 Washington St. (9.13168384574)
61 South Carolina (9.12252944278)
62 Portland St. (9.09746808172)
63 Mississippi St. (9.08765594201)
64 Weber St. (9.0831999882)
65 Oklahoma (9.05438021562)
66 Miami (FL) (9.04895695302)
67 Texas A&M (9.04386975172)
68 Cornell (9.03644880214)
69 Texas St. (9.03095128356)
70 Ohio (9.02215074799)
71 Charlotte (8.99381210537)
72 Virginia Tech (8.99308457727)
73 Charleston (8.956239944)
74 Florida (8.95097964854)
75 Valparaiso (8.92759560363)
76 Oakland (8.9186263927)
77 Oregon (8.91203196461)
78 Duquesne (8.90419433875)
79 Boston Coll. (8.90010038244)
80 Morgan St. (8.8952970081)
81 Northwestern (8.88963818909)
82 Harvard (8.8895080359)
83 Mercer (8.88181308695)
84 San Diego St. (8.85067344293)
85 Stanford (8.84532617832)
86 Louisiana Tech (8.84197368222)
87 San Jose St. (8.82173364911)
88 Tulsa (8.82170452554)
89 Missouri St. (8.81315886007)
90 Cincinnati (8.79493855176)
91 Niagara (8.76603702345)
92 Florida St. (8.76475396565)
93 Boise St. (8.76355302968)
94 Hofstra (8.75730714315)
95 Buffalo (8.74189303958)
96 Murray St. (8.73611793116)
97 Southern Ill. (8.73280668662)
98 Utah St. (8.72402191384)
99 Georgia (8.72398768514)
100 CSU Fullerton (8.72154974619)
101 Wisconsin (8.70891624191)
102 Lehigh (8.70264803831)
103 Creighton (8.6997766943)
104 Appalachian St. (8.68598851192)
105 Butler (8.67851699281)
106 South Florida (8.65946082027)
107 Kent St. (8.65787713043)
108 La Salle (8.65580569834)
109 Indiana (8.65247255758)
110 IUPUI (8.65188290013)
111 Northwestern St. (8.650235705)
112 Alabama (8.64614610947)
113 Tennessee Tech (8.64465023399)
114 Portland (8.63953820513)
115 South Dakota (8.6393257918)
116 Dayton (8.62156605483)
117 Massachusetts (8.62118474604)
118 Pittsburgh (8.61917708428)
119 Florida Atlantic (8.61684915412)
120 Rutgers (8.60939294212)
121 Illinois St. (8.60220828937)
122 South Dakota St. (8.58818128717)
123 St. Joseph's (8.58635760433)
124 Belmont (8.57947885872)
125 St. Bonaventure (8.57627623419)
126 UCLA (8.56735122638)
127 N.C. State (8.56484924061)
128 Arizona St. (8.56228116852)
129 Western Carolina (8.55781508298)
130 Northern Colorado (8.55566403218)
131 Akron (8.55509217116)
132 Boston U. (8.54478891175)
133 Wichita St. (8.54473529915)
134 Geo. Washington (8.52543739356)
135 Long Beach St. (8.52103754504)
136 St. John's (8.51878683872)
137 West. Kentucky (8.50587746016)
138 Penn St. (8.50373836683)
139 UAB (8.4925456171)
140 North Texas (8.49212894777)
141 Bradley (8.49115606127)
142 Wyoming (8.46965791013)
143 CSU Northridge (8.46053573273)
144 Wis. Milwaukee (8.46041313033)
145 Austin Peay (8.44759396845)
146 Towson (8.43043210642)
147 Fairfield (8.42743029488)
148 Davidson (8.42734534402)
149 Rider (8.42711072139)
150 Troy (8.42688530197)
151 Nebraska (8.42014334254)
152 Longwood (8.40286077115)
153 Richmond (8.39797612089)
154 Quinnipiac (8.39744540759)
155 W. Michigan (8.38682961886)
156 Virginia (8.37602397935)
157 TCU (8.37093507936)
158 Old Dominion (8.36246957369)
159 East Carolina (8.35925965558)
160 Idaho (8.35268923895)
161 Michigan (8.3365433049)
162 Sacred Heart (8.32808333199)
163 Lafayette (8.32625599744)
164 Detroit (8.32542281924)
165 Drake (8.31709561953)
166 Indiana St. (8.31341329676)
167 Jacksonville (8.30868848135)
168 Utah (8.30390692076)
169 Colorado St. (8.29295481735)
170 Norfolk St. (8.29219191754)
171 Cal Poly (8.28455631283)
172 Vermont (8.27729930135)
173 Georgia Southern (8.27678648167)
174 Northern Illinois (8.27057671426)
175 San Francisco (8.25424694999)
176 William & Mary (8.25208642378)
177 Cleveland St. (8.23586167401)
178 Wis. Green Bay (8.23082932485)
179 N.C. Asheville (8.22769377309)
180 Wright St. (8.19144625554)
181 UCF (8.18654496997)
182 SE Louisiana (8.18149519102)
183 Navy (8.16042522414)
184 Oral Roberts (8.15086234093)
185 Houston Baptist (8.14243450471)
186 N.C. Wilmington (8.1400577915)
187 Montana (8.13988183176)
188 TX Arlington (8.12712309124)
189 Morehead St. (8.11426184637)
190 Long Island (8.10772355358)
191 Eastern Kentucky (8.106981612)
192 E. Tennessee St. (8.09684175744)
193 James Madison (8.08667648927)
194 UCSB (8.07427827314)
195 UC Davis (8.07190032751)
196 SMU (8.06687909503)
197 North Dakota St. (8.06186227025)
198 Canisius (8.06106458325)
199 Wofford (8.05958276878)
200 Hawaii (8.05942849129)
201 Northern Arizona (8.05878912917)
202 Centenary (8.04635244693)
203 Brown (8.03501954313)
204 Temple (8.03261201059)
205 Florida Intl. (8.02774849995)
206 Fresno St. (8.02272203563)
207 Holy Cross (8.01169361973)
208 Arkansas St. (8.00963777856)
209 Chattanooga (8.00745524164)
210 Pepperdine (8.00657585665)
211 George Mason (8.00084105845)
212 Tennessee St. (7.98946385038)
213 Furman (7.98087495336)
214 Northeastern (7.97733855598)
215 Radford (7.96513211378)
216 AR Little Rock (7.96289967102)
217 East. Michigan (7.95995718537)
218 LA Lafayette (7.95789934659)
219 Iona (7.95702027986)
220 Jacksonville St. (7.95636634842)
221 S. Carolina St. (7.95398725818)
222 UTSA (7.95272384668)
223 Robert Morris (7.94917766814)
224 Youngstown St. (7.94838383395)
225 Stony Brook (7.9417013915)
226 Idaho St. (7.93729628843)
227 Delaware (7.91199423416)
228 Iowa (7.9088096721)
229 Middle Tenn. St. (7.8810085041)
230 Fordham (7.87892005172)
231 Loyola (MD) (7.87272847122)
232 Texas A&M C.C. (7.86758877119)
233 Manhattan (7.86516248955)
234 Lamar (7.86410573215)
235 Evansville (7.86311218223)
236 Coastal Carolina (7.85161633959)
237 Colgate (7.84802475514)
238 Northern Iowa (7.84218230398)
239 Montana St. (7.83560428312)
240 LA Monroe (7.81963610353)
241 Loyola Chicago (7.81714457956)
242 Eastern Wash. (7.81449468244)
243 CSU Bakersfield (7.80991967038)
244 Santa Clara (7.79518235909)
245 Southern Miss (7.78346772869)
246 Elon (7.77743909896)
247 Eastern Illinois (7.7760680638)
248 McNeese St. (7.77366837427)
249 IPFW (7.76983760159)
250 Campbell (7.76633283401)
251 UC Irvine (7.764649057)
252 Drexel (7.75562001336)
253 N.C. Greensboro (7.74896701072)
254 Tulane (7.74292641597)
255 Ill. Chicago (7.73972600341)
256 Saint Louis (7.73412222778)
257 Yale (7.72699256894)
258 N.C. A&T (7.72138799967)
259 DePaul (7.71328141092)
260 Rice (7.70807536381)
261 South Alabama (7.70764782786)
262 LSU (7.69950003223)
263 Cent. Michigan (7.69586780381)
264 Pacific (7.68724054707)
265 Mo. Kansas City (7.67736402677)
266 High Point (7.66522423916)
267 Bucknell (7.64268499918)
268 Miami (OH) (7.63081561921)
269 Mount St. Mary's (7.63048414746)
270 Denver (7.62180749134)
271 Bowling Green (7.61975926885)
272 Fla Gulf Coast (7.6131476021)
273 Kennesaw St. (7.59963686767)
274 Gardner-Webb (7.58850969258)
275 San Diego (7.56885211032)
276 USC (7.54594795722)
277 Texas Southern (7.52570746444)
278 Georgia St. (7.51597035452)
279 Hampton (7.514234785)
280 Pennsylvania (7.50925883307)
281 Tenn-Martin (7.50182722172)
282 UMBC (7.4873574332)
283 Liberty (7.47148187962)
284 Florida A&M (7.4349682354)
285 Sacramento St. (7.42424021272)
286 SE Missouri St. (7.42136521258)
287 Nicholls St. (7.41215783519)
288 Albany (7.40098997539)
289 AR Pine Bluff (7.39173225453)
290 Oregon St. (7.38679861661)
291 Monmouth (7.37489634877)
292 Fair. Dickinson (7.3356201816)
293 Binghamton (7.33260132598)
294 St. Peter's (7.31955349901)
295 UC Riverside (7.29725090775)
296 St. Francis (PA) (7.28129141613)
297 Southern Utah (7.27886711148)
298 Maine (7.26674029118)
299 Ball St. (7.25577667672)
300 Charleston S. (7.24025306611)
301 Hartford (7.23842840017)
302 South Carolina Upstate (7.23537470181)
303 Stephen F. Austin (7.22833231784)
304 Miss. Valley St. (7.22022084486)
305 Alabama St. (7.21965990029)
306 American (7.1989899691)
307 Citadel (7.19776887055)
308 Alabama A&M (7.15863976235)
309 Central Arkansas (7.14821031528)
310 SIU Edwardsville (7.14017516397)
311 MD Eastern Shore (7.13988606988)
312 Texas Pan Amer. (7.1395551766)
313 Grambling St. (7.10377729696)
314 New Hampshire (7.10016962468)
315 North Dakota (7.08799906924)
316 Central Conn. St. (7.08791824285)
317 Columbia (7.06121962841)
318 Winthrop (7.05229738658)
319 Stetson (7.05058324169)
320 Jackson St. (7.03502114953)
321 Alcorn St. (7.03412739453)
322 North Florida (7.02615483067)
323 Wagner (7.01714656847)
324 Coppin St. (6.982664216)
325 St. Francis (NY) (6.93553118848)
326 New Orleans (6.90034577172)
327 Marist (6.88547344299)
328 Presbyterian (6.88275297017)
329 Princeton (6.87238530992)
330 Chicago St. (6.86467540963)
331 Air Force (6.86156157659)
332 Prairie View A&M (6.85885459159)
333 Howard (6.84415147973)
334 Samford (6.83629259329)
335 Winston-Salem (6.83109766563)
336 N.C. Central (6.80707521442)
337 Delaware St. (6.76011692275)
338 Army (6.75601767785)
339 Southern (6.75205622186)
340 Utah Valley (6.74731423289)
341 Bethune-Cookman (6.74090336909)
342 Savannah St. (6.70615731815)
343 Western Ill. (6.67671544068)
344 N.J.I.T. (6.64872787082)
345 Toledo (6.53500233042)
346 Dartmouth (6.29772838065)
347 Bryant (5.95480032938)


Defenses
1 Wisconsin (6.32057065963)
2 Temple (6.44605516553)
3 USC (6.44692532578)
4 Northern Iowa (6.45024371697)
5 Princeton (6.71832788491)
6 Arizona St. (6.75973258441)
7 Old Dominion (6.81807850841)
8 Florida St. (6.8242040874)
9 Pittsburgh (6.87076188071)
10 Duke (6.89518504414)
11 Oregon St. (6.91918358722)
12 Purdue (6.92284973952)
13 Utah St. (6.9599625176)
14 West Virginia (7.00124414689)
15 Michigan (7.02679704679)
16 Saint Louis (7.03835353947)
17 Kansas (7.04030322554)
18 Southern Miss (7.07228715031)
19 Ohio St. (7.07884259933)
20 Butler (7.08964174039)
21 Northeastern (7.09629072959)
22 Texas A&M (7.12530348174)
23 Marquette (7.1480705149)
24 Richmond (7.15339157418)
25 Dayton (7.15407151931)
26 Virginia (7.18353766063)
27 Pacific (7.19891611498)
28 Georgetown (7.21675750724)
29 Clemson (7.23483082807)
30 UAB (7.23922253822)
31 Tennessee (7.27184878438)
32 Stephen F. Austin (7.28604960942)
33 San Diego St. (7.29372227606)
34 Michigan St. (7.30339210826)
35 Alabama (7.30903904967)
36 Air Force (7.31649872138)
37 Cincinnati (7.31906298288)
38 N.C. State (7.32095956951)
39 Baylor (7.32165324762)
40 Wright St. (7.33416688762)
41 Minnesota (7.3365113623)
42 Kentucky (7.34945752954)
43 St. John's (7.36255627257)
44 Connecticut (7.36459502867)
45 Mississippi St. (7.39821704997)
46 Florida (7.40017780545)
47 Montana (7.40285526754)
48 UNLV (7.40595866694)
49 St. Peter's (7.41269436385)
50 Georgia Tech (7.41589079417)
51 Syracuse (7.44868324078)
52 South Florida (7.45089659866)
53 Wichita St. (7.46348451676)
54 Missouri (7.4729284621)
55 LSU (7.47573255956)
56 Miami (OH) (7.47900971338)
57 Wofford (7.48742664695)
58 Iona (7.48867594252)
59 Penn St. (7.49814888772)
60 Citadel (7.49830311569)
61 Nebraska (7.49904269456)
62 Miami (FL) (7.5006777214)
63 UTEP (7.50283671305)
64 DePaul (7.5052997362)
65 Memphis (7.51440983833)
66 Virginia Tech (7.51613488033)
67 Iowa (7.56420047514)
68 Kansas St. (7.56509818048)
69 Murray St. (7.58529581953)
70 Delaware St. (7.58895799063)
71 Boston Coll. (7.59333620215)
72 SMU (7.59480253644)
73 Oklahoma St. (7.60612280358)
74 Samford (7.62059057461)
75 Drexel (7.62293362159)
76 Tulsa (7.62459657347)
77 Illinois (7.62532578585)
78 Portland (7.63482056947)
79 Morehead St. (7.66066378862)
80 Northwestern (7.67233635766)
81 Utah (7.69836822656)
82 Coastal Carolina (7.7033515457)
83 San Diego (7.70396346086)
84 William & Mary (7.72423302282)
85 Winthrop (7.72487329491)
86 UCLA (7.72648162538)
87 Army (7.72722115146)
88 Louisville (7.73382821831)
89 Georgia (7.74376644246)
90 Western Ill. (7.74385661906)
91 Illinois St. (7.76426797661)
92 Maryland (7.77528026697)
93 Wake Forest (7.79036526764)
94 Denver (7.79401961232)
95 Ball St. (7.80074237613)
96 Notre Dame (7.80089366125)
97 Georgia St. (7.80197909369)
98 Gonzaga (7.80662609984)
99 BYU (7.81416990538)
100 California (7.82606819299)
101 Vanderbilt (7.83014433876)
102 Iowa St. (7.83028613886)
103 Texas (7.8335621828)
104 Fresno St. (7.84611580197)
105 St. Mary's (7.84645378187)
106 New Mexico (7.8479444928)
107 Middle Tenn. St. (7.84942637318)
108 UC Riverside (7.85475895144)
109 Bethune-Cookman (7.87396971794)
110 Kent St. (7.87629754562)
111 George Mason (7.90025735892)
112 Campbell (7.91598773648)
113 Colorado St. (7.93210203831)
114 Missouri St. (7.94094032558)
115 Tulane (7.95101601543)
116 Mississippi (7.95367851061)
117 Washington (7.95432647712)
118 Stanford (7.95720907604)
119 South Carolina (7.96277587671)
120 UCSB (7.966640255)
121 VCU (7.96746197122)
122 Maine (7.98920434411)
123 Bradley (7.98920860735)
124 North Carolina (7.99006864652)
125 Oral Roberts (7.99080464416)
126 UCF (8.00605473831)
127 Mount St. Mary's (8.01404551663)
128 Xavier (8.02351076537)
129 Texas A&M C.C. (8.02446615457)
130 Savannah St. (8.04569467886)
131 Cent. Michigan (8.05402586387)
132 West. Kentucky (8.05887288397)
133 Geo. Washington (8.06038065862)
134 Indiana St. (8.07246235979)
135 New Hampshire (8.07774962112)
136 Akron (8.09083851123)
137 Oklahoma (8.09402823024)
138 North Florida (8.10379974475)
139 Cleveland St. (8.10389606057)
140 E. Tennessee St. (8.10471837755)
141 Siena (8.10595282816)
142 Detroit (8.11149093745)
143 Arizona (8.11247555657)
144 Cornell (8.12109349834)
145 Oregon (8.12499261218)
146 Bowling Green (8.13087582324)
147 Montana St. (8.14627271973)
148 Fairfield (8.15012446845)
149 Villanova (8.17587846299)
150 Idaho (8.18000737199)
151 Creighton (8.18360558613)
152 Wis. Green Bay (8.19445627815)
153 Southern Ill. (8.1950580689)
154 Hampton (8.20326126486)
155 Toledo (8.21302925358)
156 IUPUI (8.21576028368)
157 Manhattan (8.22130057055)
158 Rice (8.22253013708)
159 Washington St. (8.22288790194)
160 UTSA (8.22574472187)
161 Eastern Kentucky (8.23109725059)
162 Drake (8.23649402409)
163 Rhode Island (8.23982869893)
164 TCU (8.24110941024)
165 Indiana (8.24621895551)
166 Marshall (8.24996953102)
167 Rutgers (8.2538701799)
168 Eastern Illinois (8.25416720774)
169 Northern Colorado (8.2630252777)
170 Loyola (MD) (8.27909029889)
171 New Orleans (8.2793863026)
172 Louisiana Tech (8.28055379758)
173 Wis. Milwaukee (8.28255600529)
174 Hofstra (8.28449899266)
175 Stony Brook (8.28483270871)
176 Charlotte (8.3041660791)
177 Loyola Chicago (8.31062184407)
178 East. Michigan (8.31182296875)
179 St. Bonaventure (8.31310274207)
180 AR Pine Bluff (8.32110536489)
181 Columbia (8.3272917188)
182 Vermont (8.33870032527)
183 Evansville (8.34641283057)
184 LA Lafayette (8.36296635221)
185 Robert Morris (8.36585424925)
186 Santa Clara (8.37058557082)
187 Colorado (8.38106259999)
188 Arkansas St. (8.38127263458)
189 Ohio (8.39718772894)
190 South Carolina Upstate (8.4007082262)
191 Dartmouth (8.40335946266)
192 Utah Valley (8.40337517228)
193 W. Michigan (8.40440404052)
194 Jacksonville (8.40782902276)
195 Hawaii (8.41135487474)
196 American (8.42065268017)
197 San Francisco (8.42601745261)
198 Harvard (8.42749126568)
199 St. Francis (NY) (8.44054055968)
200 Seton Hall (8.44771710686)
201 Texas Tech (8.46818959437)
202 Appalachian St. (8.47215601275)
203 Long Beach St. (8.47595388304)
204 Boston U. (8.48855576781)
205 Central Arkansas (8.48921146639)
206 South Alabama (8.49126224194)
207 Belmont (8.49141453145)
208 Arkansas (8.49621673644)
209 Binghamton (8.50035868758)
210 UC Irvine (8.5006142522)
211 Canisius (8.50775907628)
212 Prairie View A&M (8.51091532265)
213 IPFW (8.51524783412)
214 N.C. Wilmington (8.5152581359)
215 James Madison (8.52000467171)
216 Auburn (8.52461452915)
217 Jackson St. (8.52910457893)
218 Weber St. (8.53362984696)
219 Niagara (8.53659694399)
220 Radford (8.54006564549)
221 La Salle (8.54693640652)
222 Nicholls St. (8.54913856799)
223 SE Louisiana (8.56077726702)
224 Duquesne (8.59773053405)
225 Delaware (8.60280698837)
226 Ill. Chicago (8.60808215306)
227 Troy (8.60982491205)
228 Bucknell (8.61386897796)
229 Monmouth (8.62278504593)
230 Charleston S. (8.62680629702)
231 North Texas (8.63825319561)
232 Boise St. (8.64434713111)
233 Western Carolina (8.64809265887)
234 Marist (8.65338106147)
235 Nevada (8.65608723751)
236 Oakland (8.65642781706)
237 Kennesaw St. (8.67869116985)
238 N.C. Greensboro (8.67981044751)
239 Massachusetts (8.67988477401)
240 Albany (8.69120190998)
241 Rider (8.69757385785)
242 Youngstown St. (8.70061407371)
243 Central Conn. St. (8.70393489342)
244 Quinnipiac (8.70612999176)
245 Texas Southern (8.72030476475)
246 Davidson (8.73101338061)
247 Wyoming (8.7360652008)
248 St. Joseph's (8.74362472809)
249 Coppin St. (8.75493806185)
250 Furman (8.75980614742)
251 Sacramento St. (8.77326310285)
252 Bryant (8.78048912511)
253 Austin Peay (8.78487613032)
254 Alabama St. (8.79203844695)
255 Liberty (8.79750178724)
256 UC Davis (8.79994976191)
257 Pepperdine (8.80675284012)
258 Yale (8.81463822777)
259 Northern Arizona (8.8327407083)
260 North Dakota St. (8.83329331039)
261 Houston (8.86681547748)
262 N.J.I.T. (8.89190042364)
263 Elon (8.89508768935)
264 San Jose St. (8.90228645909)
265 Holy Cross (8.9102852514)
266 Buffalo (8.91496425265)
267 Jacksonville St. (8.91622612699)
268 East Carolina (8.92111643715)
269 Sam Houston St. (8.92669268469)
270 SE Missouri St. (8.92849481542)
271 Winston-Salem (8.93934219245)
272 Hartford (8.94077611862)
273 Presbyterian (8.95632457717)
274 Florida Atlantic (8.96338451873)
275 LA Monroe (8.97012356545)
276 Chattanooga (8.98154423833)
277 McNeese St. (8.98263439309)
278 Eastern Wash. (8.99090298468)
279 Charleston (8.99428844871)
280 Stetson (8.99529851335)
281 Mo. Kansas City (9.0006530765)
282 Morgan St. (9.00163300792)
283 AR Little Rock (9.00213672152)
284 TX Arlington (9.00256935542)
285 Tennessee St. (9.01003374672)
286 Lamar (9.01530528868)
287 Pennsylvania (9.01734872767)
288 Loyola Marymount (9.01919725003)
289 Fla Gulf Coast (9.02014638581)
290 CSU Bakersfield (9.02103555006)
291 MD Eastern Shore (9.04143668998)
292 New Mexico St. (9.05158842458)
293 N.C. Central (9.05196304571)
294 Howard (9.05294825394)
295 S. Carolina St. (9.05605147407)
296 Texas Pan Amer. (9.05996521795)
297 CSU Northridge (9.06285169277)
298 Wagner (9.06589569738)
299 St. Francis (PA) (9.06639894959)
300 Colgate (9.07605299997)
301 Northern Illinois (9.08285569398)
302 South Dakota St. (9.09169089921)
303 Fair. Dickinson (9.09364072219)
304 Idaho St. (9.10398788438)
305 Cal Poly (9.11776657342)
306 CSU Fullerton (9.12936899069)
307 Southern Utah (9.1310335987)
308 N.C. A&T (9.15651666505)
309 Lehigh (9.17181198377)
310 Valparaiso (9.19006331902)
311 Chicago St. (9.22816567117)
312 High Point (9.2314108556)
313 Lafayette (9.25065942627)
314 North Dakota (9.27399334025)
315 Providence (9.27454860001)
316 Brown (9.2806385682)
317 SIU Edwardsville (9.33791078455)
318 Towson (9.34944644617)
319 Fordham (9.35448135911)
320 Lipscomb (9.38079698141)
321 Mercer (9.41301764102)
322 Portland St. (9.43760160698)
323 Long Island (9.4473457865)
324 UMBC (9.45742098012)
325 Alabama A&M (9.48291716302)
326 Tenn-Martin (9.48881486106)
327 Florida Intl. (9.48960691055)
328 Navy (9.52218904341)
329 South Dakota (9.52469625509)
330 Miss. Valley St. (9.5409902926)
331 Southern (9.57825041251)
332 Florida A&M (9.59913215592)
333 Sacred Heart (9.62362981881)
334 Georgia Southern (9.69349029777)
335 Tennessee Tech (9.70248177492)
336 Norfolk St. (9.7145731196)
337 Grambling St. (9.7645185558)
338 N.C. Asheville (9.78288772817)
339 Seattle (9.78365887659)
340 Gardner-Webb (9.80860538609)
341 Texas St. (9.85033995182)
342 Centenary (9.85333899769)
343 Longwood (10.0855988691)
344 Northwestern St. (10.1669651218)
345 Houston Baptist (10.2985052311)
346 Alcorn St. (10.6680173801)
347 Virginia Military (12.5710938304)

Combined (Offensive Rating divided by Defensive Rating)
1 Duke (1.48007999011)
2 Kansas (1.45882555272)
3 Syracuse (1.38141386962)
4 Wisconsin (1.37786866264)
5 Ohio St. (1.3655766948)
6 Kentucky (1.36278847398)
7 Kansas St. (1.34289451376)
8 West Virginia (1.34071196565)
9 Purdue (1.33042674444)
10 Georgetown (1.32247947836)
11 BYU (1.31997501617)
12 Maryland (1.31911913621)
13 Texas (1.3115057155)
14 Missouri (1.30881162016)
15 California (1.30530887034)
16 Michigan St. (1.30103731743)
17 Baylor (1.29823603766)
18 Villanova (1.29767183095)
19 Clemson (1.29660549206)
20 Minnesota (1.29546849395)
21 Tennessee (1.29148633403)
22 Marquette (1.28818046142)
23 Washington (1.28648564604)
24 Florida St. (1.28436281409)
25 Texas A&M (1.26926099006)
26 Arizona St. (1.2666597475)
27 Vanderbilt (1.26552145271)
28 Xavier (1.26143887358)
29 Georgia Tech (1.25714208524)
30 Louisville (1.25502196239)
31 Pittsburgh (1.25447180879)
32 Utah St. (1.25345817478)
33 Connecticut (1.24690709057)
34 Temple (1.24612833808)
35 Notre Dame (1.24171415006)
36 UNLV (1.23462028724)
37 St. Mary's (1.23419267555)
38 Mississippi (1.23107671046)
39 New Mexico (1.23078881021)
40 UTEP (1.23065946656)
41 Mississippi St. (1.22835757327)
42 Memphis (1.22760903603)
43 Old Dominion (1.22651412174)
44 Butler (1.22411220631)
45 Illinois (1.21807125044)
46 Oklahoma St. (1.21779645406)
47 Gonzaga (1.21676317737)
48 Northern Iowa (1.21579627811)
49 San Diego St. (1.21346455321)
50 Florida (1.20956278131)
51 Wake Forest (1.20893039576)
52 Miami (FL) (1.20641857831)
53 Dayton (1.20512718269)
54 Cincinnati (1.20164815801)
55 North Carolina (1.19899153983)
56 Virginia Tech (1.19650388404)
57 VCU (1.19377527041)
58 Seton Hall (1.1867315907)
59 Michigan (1.18639306776)
60 Alabama (1.18293883104)
61 Richmond (1.17398523956)
62 UAB (1.17312951388)
63 Boston Coll. (1.17209354959)
64 USC (1.17047236875)
65 N.C. State (1.16990800991)
66 Iowa St. (1.16945693763)
67 Virginia (1.16600265427)
68 South Florida (1.16220386441)
69 Northwestern (1.15866116587)
70 St. John's (1.15704200054)
71 Tulsa (1.15700607115)
72 Marshall (1.15205893506)
73 Murray St. (1.1517174991)
74 Siena (1.15056054637)
75 Rhode Island (1.1491675533)
76 Arizona (1.14803391637)
77 South Carolina (1.145646893)
78 Wichita St. (1.14487211435)
79 Texas Tech (1.14340761824)
80 Penn St. (1.13411169799)
81 Providence (1.13171031829)
82 Portland (1.13159675811)
83 Colorado (1.13006886906)
84 Georgia (1.12658197403)
85 Houston (1.12631972812)
86 Northeastern (1.12415610633)
87 Nebraska (1.12282909773)
88 Oklahoma (1.11864944847)
89 Wright St. (1.11688844569)
90 Cornell (1.11271330689)
91 Stanford (1.1116116334)
92 Washington St. (1.11052028857)
93 Missouri St. (1.1098381928)
94 Nevada (1.10962353096)
95 Arkansas (1.10949112475)
96 UCLA (1.10882956069)
97 Illinois St. (1.10792264194)
98 Auburn (1.10161425293)
99 Southern Miss (1.10055878152)
100 Montana (1.09955976952)
101 Kent St. (1.09923185104)
102 Saint Louis (1.09885389877)
103 Oregon (1.09686646992)
104 Charlotte (1.0830481977)
105 Utah (1.07865805796)
106 Wofford (1.0764155896)
107 Ohio (1.07442527656)
108 William & Mary (1.06833732222)
109 Pacific (1.06783304935)
110 Louisiana Tech (1.06779979919)
111 Oregon St. (1.0675823995)
112 Southern Ill. (1.06561864641)
113 Weber St. (1.06440051316)
114 Creighton (1.06307380075)
115 Bradley (1.06282818219)
116 Iona (1.0625403397)
117 SMU (1.06215784496)
118 Morehead St. (1.05921132558)
119 Geo. Washington (1.05769662186)
120 Akron (1.05738016638)
121 Hofstra (1.0570714235)
122 West. Kentucky (1.05546738144)
123 Harvard (1.05482257479)
124 IUPUI (1.05308365889)
125 Sam Houston St. (1.04974092876)
126 Indiana (1.04926543962)
127 New Mexico St. (1.04773005418)
128 Iowa (1.0455579143)
129 Colorado St. (1.04549270512)
130 Rutgers (1.04307346184)
131 Duquesne (1.03564473247)
132 Northern Colorado (1.0354154495)
133 Fairfield (1.03402473514)
134 St. Bonaventure (1.03165767347)
135 Oakland (1.03028946595)
136 LSU (1.02993251442)
137 Indiana St. (1.02984850548)
138 DePaul (1.02771130828)
139 Niagara (1.02687723)
140 Detroit (1.02637392847)
141 Appalachian St. (1.02523944305)
142 Princeton (1.02293091788)
143 UCF (1.02254421654)
144 Fresno St. (1.02250874676)
145 Wis. Milwaukee (1.02147370026)
146 Idaho (1.02111023366)
147 Miami (OH) (1.02029759442)
148 Oral Roberts (1.02003023524)
149 Coastal Carolina (1.01924679057)
150 Drexel (1.01740621109)
151 Loyola Marymount (1.01660133952)
152 Cleveland St. (1.01628421841)
153 TCU (1.01575342137)
154 Boise St. (1.01379004068)
155 UCSB (1.01351109309)
156 La Salle (1.01273781466)
157 George Mason (1.0127316991)
158 Belmont (1.01037098436)
159 Drake (1.00978591075)
160 Boston U. (1.0066245832)
161 Long Beach St. (1.00531900747)
162 Wis. Green Bay (1.00443873827)
163 Middle Tenn. St. (1.0040234954)
164 E. Tennessee St. (0.999028143885)
165 W. Michigan (0.997908903288)
166 Charleston (0.995769703748)
167 Massachusetts (0.993237234191)
168 Vermont (0.992636619434)
169 Stephen F. Austin (0.992078383393)
170 San Jose St. (0.990951447097)
171 Western Carolina (0.989560984201)
172 Jacksonville (0.988208544543)
173 Morgan St. (0.988187032316)
174 St. Peter's (0.987434951414)
175 Eastern Kentucky (0.984921130827)
176 North Texas (0.98308405131)
177 San Diego (0.982462098732)
178 St. Joseph's (0.982013509425)
179 Campbell (0.981094601526)
180 Buffalo (0.980586437795)
181 Texas A&M C.C. (0.980450115889)
182 San Francisco (0.979614271679)
183 Lipscomb (0.978847238664)
184 Troy (0.978752226445)
185 Denver (0.977904582032)
186 Tulane (0.973828552343)
187 Valparaiso (0.971440053644)
188 Wyoming (0.969504887549)
189 Rider (0.968903611411)
190 UTSA (0.966808977859)
191 Davidson (0.965219611591)
192 Quinnipiac (0.9645439955)
193 Portland St. (0.963959749582)
194 Georgia St. (0.963341514284)
195 Montana St. (0.961863732373)
196 Austin Peay (0.961606497705)
197 Florida Atlantic (0.961338781808)
198 Seattle (0.960849695374)
199 Citadel (0.959919699097)
200 Stony Brook (0.958583193014)
201 Hawaii (0.958160559305)
202 East. Michigan (0.957666833774)
203 Manhattan (0.956681053327)
204 N.C. Wilmington (0.955937877818)
205 SE Louisiana (0.955695369221)
206 Arkansas St. (0.955658899045)
207 Cent. Michigan (0.955530555015)
208 CSU Fullerton (0.955328868302)
209 Mount St. Mary's (0.952138858162)
210 LA Lafayette (0.951564195219)
211 Loyola (MD) (0.950917091975)
212 Robert Morris (0.950193181867)
213 James Madison (0.949139912578)
214 Lehigh (0.948847191123)
215 Canisius (0.947495634393)
216 South Dakota St. (0.944618705407)
217 Mercer (0.943567028733)
218 Evansville (0.942094806697)
219 Eastern Illinois (0.942077846026)
220 Loyola Chicago (0.940620897717)
221 Air Force (0.937820375277)
222 Rice (0.937433519282)
223 Bowling Green (0.937138806999)
224 East Carolina (0.937019454289)
225 CSU Northridge (0.933540128377)
226 Radford (0.93267808989)
227 Santa Clara (0.93125890574)
228 Ball St. (0.930139251736)
229 UC Riverside (0.929022895911)
230 Delaware (0.919699145274)
231 UC Davis (0.917266637412)
232 Texas St. (0.916816204084)
233 Hampton (0.916005786284)
234 Youngstown St. (0.913542856471)
235 UC Irvine (0.913422115937)
236 Winthrop (0.912933729441)
237 North Dakota St. (0.912667788442)
238 IPFW (0.912461710211)
239 Northern Arizona (0.912376961501)
240 Furman (0.91107894616)
241 Northern Illinois (0.910570088628)
242 Maine (0.909569961938)
243 Pepperdine (0.909140520009)
244 Cal Poly (0.908616846694)
245 South Alabama (0.907715202787)
246 South Dakota (0.907044756119)
247 TX Arlington (0.902755954482)
248 Towson (0.901703876797)
249 Lafayette (0.900071618008)
250 Holy Cross (0.899151193669)
251 Ill. Chicago (0.899123157259)
252 Samford (0.89708173223)
253 N.C. Greensboro (0.892757630778)
254 Jacksonville St. (0.89234685562)
255 Chattanooga (0.891545488077)
256 Tennessee Tech (0.890973096836)
257 Delaware St. (0.890783284227)
258 AR Pine Bluff (0.888311339707)
259 Bucknell (0.887253453558)
260 Tennessee St. (0.886729625546)
261 AR Little Rock (0.884556624427)
262 New Hampshire (0.878978670758)
263 S. Carolina St. (0.878306321575)
264 Yale (0.876609155053)
265 Kennesaw St. (0.875666240328)
266 Elon (0.874352155997)
267 Army (0.874314005699)
268 Lamar (0.872306092843)
269 Idaho St. (0.871848292114)
270 LA Monroe (0.871742295017)
271 Eastern Wash. (0.869155711697)
272 North Florida (0.867019799597)
273 Nicholls St. (0.867006397925)
274 Brown (0.865783047587)
275 CSU Bakersfield (0.865745360057)
276 McNeese St. (0.865410750797)
277 Sacred Heart (0.865378603374)
278 Colgate (0.864695782975)
279 Texas Southern (0.863009684577)
280 Binghamton (0.862622578114)
281 Western Ill. (0.86219512694)
282 South Carolina Upstate (0.861281514247)
283 Long Island (0.858201206647)
284 Navy (0.856990465842)
285 Bethune-Cookman (0.856099732481)
286 Monmouth (0.855280087523)
287 American (0.854920662629)
288 Georgia Southern (0.853849978432)
289 Norfolk St. (0.853582737548)
290 Mo. Kansas City (0.852978551836)
291 Albany (0.851549653552)
292 Northwestern St. (0.850817879413)
293 Liberty (0.849273130066)
294 Columbia (0.847961121918)
295 Sacramento St. (0.846234761877)
296 Florida Intl. (0.845951636946)
297 Fla Gulf Coast (0.844015970082)
298 N.C. A&T (0.843266962986)
299 Fordham (0.842261558846)
300 Central Arkansas (0.842034662887)
301 N.C. Asheville (0.841029152302)
302 Charleston S. (0.839273865302)
303 Savannah St. (0.83350880015)
304 New Orleans (0.833436865913)
305 Longwood (0.833154369927)
306 Pennsylvania (0.832756840159)
307 SE Missouri St. (0.831200036065)
308 High Point (0.830341576067)
309 Jackson St. (0.824825289035)
310 St. Francis (NY) (0.82169277423)
311 Alabama St. (0.821158818157)
312 Centenary (0.816611754535)
313 Central Conn. St. (0.814334933526)
314 Hartford (0.809597321769)
315 Fair. Dickinson (0.806675830473)
316 Prairie View A&M (0.805889182488)
317 St. Francis (PA) (0.80310732592)
318 Utah Valley (0.802929072494)
319 Virginia Military (0.800528692777)
320 Coppin St. (0.797568659729)
321 Southern Utah (0.79715697383)
322 Marist (0.79569747294)
323 Toledo (0.795687209756)
324 UMBC (0.791691249542)
325 Houston Baptist (0.790642362361)
326 Tenn-Martin (0.790596858677)
327 MD Eastern Shore (0.78968490459)
328 Texas Pan Amer. (0.788033398015)
329 Stetson (0.783807589179)
330 Florida A&M (0.774545877131)
331 Wagner (0.774015806347)
332 Gardner-Webb (0.773658373834)
333 Presbyterian (0.768479626979)
334 SIU Edwardsville (0.764643754766)
335 North Dakota (0.76428770317)
336 Winston-Salem (0.764161111474)
337 Miss. Valley St. (0.756758011846)
338 Howard (0.756013542522)
339 Alabama A&M (0.754898481056)
340 N.C. Central (0.751999889974)
341 Dartmouth (0.749429845128)
342 N.J.I.T. (0.747728556783)
343 Chicago St. (0.743882983276)
344 Grambling St. (0.727509221921)
345 Southern (0.704936280747)
346 Bryant (0.678185491097)
347 Alcorn St. (0.65936594813)

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